Top VALUE Picks | NFL DFS Winning Strategies for Week 13 Draftkings and Fanduel Success

Kickstart your excitement for Week 13 of the NFL DFS main slate as we delve deep into the best value plays across every position, all thanks to our trusty NFL Optimizer, aka The Domination Station. I’m Mike, better known as @MadnessDFSbets on Twitter (X). Don’t forget to follow me for real-time updates and insights, and keep an eye out for my comprehensive DFS content throughout the NFL season, extending seamlessly into the NBA season as well, exclusively here at DFS Army.

Let’s dive right in and set the stage for an exhilarating week ahead!

Nov 17, 2024; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; New Orleans Saints tight end Taysom Hill (7) celebrates a touchdown during the fourth quarter against the Cleveland Browns with New Orleans Saints quarterback Derek Carr (4) at Caesars Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Hinton-Imagn Images

Top Value Quarterbacks:

Sam Darnold ($5.9k vs. Arizona Cardinals)

I’m on the side the people that don’t think Sam Darnold is that great of an NFL QB, but there’s no debating what he’s been able to do in terms of DFS production this season. He has at least 24 DraftKings points in back-to-back games and gets a solid matchup in this one although this Cardinals secondary has been better. He’s got some great stacking options with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, TJ Hockenson, and even Aaron Jones out of the back field. The Domination Station has him projected for 22.18 DraftKings points giving him 3.76x his current price tag.

Anthony Richardson ($5.5k at New England Patriots)

Richardson came down to Earth last week against the Lions and regressed heavily through the air. He was just 11 for 28 and he’s fumbling the ball at an alarming rate. That said, the floor and ceiling is great due to the rushing he brings to the table. The matchup in this one is very solid against the Patriots and although you can probably play him naked, they’ll be without Josh Downs so guys like Michael Pittman and Adonai Mitchell will look like nice stacking pieces. We have him projected for 20.13 DraftKings points giving him a value multiplier of 3.66x his current salary.

Justin Herbert ($5.6k at Atlanta Falcons)

Herbert has looked much better from the eye test and in terms of fantasy production as of late. At least 17 DraftKings points in five straight games and his price tag hasn’t really moved. The matchup in this one doesn’t bother me either, this Falcons defense isn’t anything special. I don’t love Herbert’s stacking pieces with guys like Quentin Johnston, Ladd McConkey, Josh Palmer, and Will Dissly. Our lineup optimizer has Jameis projected for 20.04 DraftKings points giving him 3.58x his price tag.

Click here for full Quarterback projections: Domination Station Optimizer

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Running Backs:

Alvin Kamara ($7.7k vs. Los Angeles Rams)

The Rams defense hasn’t been all that great lately and the nice thing with Kamara is the volume is going to be there whether it’s on the ground or through the air, he’s a guy who is tough to game script out. He leads all RBs in receiving yards and receptions to go along with expected fantasy points per game and we’re getting him at a discount to the high-end options like Barkley, Mixon, and Henry. The Domination Station has him projected for 25.66 DraftKings points giving him 3.33x his price tag.

Chase Brown ($6.2k vs. Pittsburgh Steelers)

I’ve played a bunch of Brown ever since Zack Moss went down, along with a lot of people, and I’ll go right back to the well in this one. They’re not afraid to give him a full workload and he’s another guy that has pass game upside as well. He has at least five receptions in three straight games and at least seven targets in back-to-back games. It’s not a great matchup, but the volume is enough to get me there. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 20.51 DraftKings points giving him 3.31x his price tag.

Chuba Hubbard ($6.7k vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

I don’t love the matchup, the Bucs are much better against the run than they are against the pass… they can truly get shredded through the air. That said, Hubbard has been a volume machine this season and even in games that don’t stay close, he’s still able to get there. He has at least 15 DraftKings points in three straight games and they don’t seem interested in giving rookie Jonathan Brooks any of his volume. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 19.38 DraftKings points giving him 2.89x his price tag.

Click here for full Runningback projections: Domination Station Optimizer

Value Priced Wide Receivers:

Puka Nacua ($7.6k at New Orleans Saints)

Puka continues to be a target monster with at least nine targets in four of his last five games and 36 targets over his last three games. He has at least 18 DraftKings points in those four games as well, the floor/ceiling combination is great because of that target volume as well. The matchup is great in this one and feels like he’s still slightly underpriced. The Domination Station has him projected for 21.18 DraftKings points giving him 2.79x his current price tag.

Brian Thomas Jr. ($5.5k vs. Houston Texans)

I’d have more interest in Thomas if Trevor Lawrence is able to go, he’s had back-to-back weeks with Mac Jones at QB and hasn’t been quite the same. Lawrence can stretch the field much better and isn’t afraid to take those deep shots. It’s not a great matchup, but the price tag has come way down, so if we do get Lawrence back in this one, Thomas is going to look great. We have him projected for 15.11 DraftKings points giving him 2.75x his price tag.

David Moore ($3.5k vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers)

Moore was tied with Xavier Legette with a team high 94% snap share at the position, so he’s going to be out there at a dirt cheap price tag. He also had 10 (!) targets last time out and this is a much better matchup against the Bucs who have been shredded through the air this season. Bryce Young has looked like a competent quarterback lately as well, so he makes plenty of sense as a valuable piece. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 9.45 DraftKings points giving him 2.7x his price tag.

Click here for full Wide Receiver projections: Domination Station Optimizer

Tight Ends:

Taysom Hill ($5.0k vs. Los Angeles Rams)

We all know what Taysom did before the Saints went on bye and he has that type of ceiling fairly consistently as long as the Saints are going to have him on the field, which they really don’t have a reason not to at this point. It sounds like Jamaal Williams could return for the Saints in this one which hurts his TD equity in the red zone, but it may not matter at this point, Taysom has proven to be a weapon in multiple facets in this offense. We have him projected for 15.41 DraftKings points giving him 3.08x his current price tag.

Evan Engram ($4.8k vs. Houston Texans)

We haven’t really seen a ceiling from Engram this season but he’s continued to be extremely consistent. He has at least seven targets in three straight games, and I would expect that to continue again in this one. Similar to Thomas, I’ll like him more if Lawrence is able to go and he’s probably got some positive TD regression coming his way. The Domination Station has him projected for 14.64 DraftKings points giving him a value of 3.05x his price tag.

Trey McBride ($5.8k at Minnesota Vikings)

It seems like it’s probably a spend-up week at the TE position considering the top three value pieces we’re talking about here. McBride offers the most consistent ceiling at the position and is coming off a huge game last week where he saw 15 targets. Kyler Murray is looking his way a ton and would be a guy I like going back to even in a difficult matchup. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 17.03 DraftKings points giving him 2.94x his current price tag.

Click here for full Tight End projections: Domination Station Optimizer

Value Defense/Special Teams:

New York Jets $2.5k – This Jets defense has not been the same since they fired Robert Saleh, but they were able to confuse Anthony Richardson a bit last week. At home in this one should help, I don’t love the matchup against the Seahawks, but the price tag makes things work and the talent is definitely there.

Indianapolis Colts $2.8k – The Colts defense has been better as of late with at least three sacks in three of their last four games. Drake Maye and the rest of this offense looked pretty bad last week so the Colts make sense in this one.

Washington Commanders $3.4k – I’ll continue to stream DST’s against the Titans due to the Will Levis effect, the price tag isn’t my favorite, but if they can force some turnovers here they make plenty of sense.