Top VALUE Picks | NFL DFS Winning Strategies for Week 7 Draftkings and Fanduel Success

Kickstart your excitement for Week 7 of the NFL DFS main slate as we delve deep into the best value plays across every position, all thanks to our trusty NFL Optimizer, aka The Domination Station. I’m Mike, better known as @MadnessDFSbets on Twitter (X). Don’t forget to follow me for real-time updates and insights, and keep an eye out for my comprehensive DFS content throughout the NFL season, extending seamlessly into the NBA season as well, exclusively here at DFS Army.

Let’s dive right in and set the stage for an exhilarating week ahead!

Oct 13, 2024; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones (8) after a incomplete pass against the Cincinnati Bengals during the second half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-Imagn Images

Top Value Quarterbacks:

Geno Smith ($5.8k at Atlanta Falcons)

Geno feels extremely consistent and mispriced for his upside. He has at least 17 DraftKings points in four of his last five games and at least 20 in three of those games. He’s been better on the road in two games and this matchup isn’t terrible, especially against a Falcons team that wants to throw the ball and speed the game up. He has great stacking options for Geno as well with guys like DK Metcalf, Jaxson Smith-Njigba, Tyler Lockett, and even Noah Fant. The Domination Station has him projected for 20.99 DraftKings points giving him 3.62x his current price tag.

Daniel Jones ($5.4k vs. Philadelphia Eagles)

Danny Dimes had a tough game last time out in primetime against a bad Bengals defense but gets a nice bounce-back spot against the Eagles in this one. The Eagles rank 26th in EPA against the pass on the season and we know Jones has the rushing floor to go along with that. Malik Nabers returned to practice today (Wednesday) in a limited fashion as well, so I would expect him to play which is a huge boost to Jones and is an elite stacking option. Wan’Dale Robinson makes sense as a stack as well, but Nabers being back probably takes Darius Slayton out of play, and could be on the Chiefs by the time the trade deadline rolls around. We have him him projected for 18.43 DraftKings points giving him a value multiplier of 3.41x his current salary.

Tyler Huntley ($5.1k at Indianapolis Colts)

If there were ever a week for Huntley to have a big week, it’s against this Colts defense. It’s no coincidence we consistently have top-value quarterbacks against this Colts defense. The Colts rank 28th in DvP against opposing quarterbacks on the season and we know the weapons are there if he can simply get it to them. He’s got rushing upside as well, but as odd as it sounds, may need to complete some passes to open that up. The Colts are one of the worst in the league in giving up deep balls to opposing WRs, so if he finds Tyreek deep, he’s going to look great. Jaylen Waddle is a solid stacking piece as well. Our lineup optimizer has Levis projected for 16.9 DraftKings points giving him 3.31x his price tag.

Click here for full Quarterback projections: Domination Station Optimizer

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Running Backs:

Chuba Hubbard ($6.5k at Washington Commanders)

Chuba kept it rolling last time out, and even in these games where the game isn’t in question, he’s still getting it done. He has at least 15 DraftKings points in four straight games partially due to what he’s doing in the passing game with at least four receptions in five straight games. I do worry a bit about Jonathan Brooks returning to practice and likely being active in this one, but I think Brooks breaks in over time, not right away. The Commanders rank 26th in EPA against the run on the season. The Domination Station has him projected for 17.88 DraftKings points giving him 2.75x his price tag.

Bijan Robinson ($7.1k vs. Seattle Seahawks)

Bijan finally had a breakout game last week against the Panthers, which, does it even count? Regardless, he had 25.5 DraftKings points on 18 touches… but the snap percentage continues to fall. Over the last four weeks he’s had a snap rate of 82%, 64%, 67%, and down to 56% last week. I do think that had a little something to do with a blowout, but it’s noteworthy given the nagging injury he’s had. That said, he’s the best football player they have on offense and needs the ball if they want to be successful. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 19.22 DraftKings points giving him 2.71x his price tag.

Aaron Jones ($6.5k vs. Detroit Lions)

I will say, I’m not entirely convinced he plays in this one. The Vikings acquired Cam Akers this week which feels like a hint at how they feel about Jones’ health regardless of that being short-term or long-term. Even if he’s healthy, I don’t see them giving him 20+ touches. All that said, if we get reports leading up to Sunday that he’s a full go, he does look good and has been good all season, especially in the passing game which is huge for running backs on DraftKings. It’s not a great matchup against a good rush defense, but the loss of Hutchinson will be big and when you have pass catching RBs like Jones I tend to care less about the DvP. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 16.52 DraftKings points giving him 2.54x his price tag.

Click here for full Runningback projections: Domination Station Optimizer

Value Priced Wide Receivers:

Justin Jefferson ($8.5k vs. Detroit Lions)

I think you have to look past the DvP numbers when teams are playing the Lions because they’re going to give up points and yards and honestly, they’re inflated by dismantling the Cowboys last week. I think that changes here, and although I think Sam Darnold has a hard fall down to Earth coming, that shouldn’t change how good and productive Jefferson is. He averaged a massive 34.05 DraftKings points per game in two games against the Lions last season. The Domination Station has him projected for 23.61 DraftKings points giving him 2.78x his current price tag.

Drake London ($6.9k vs. Seattle Seahawks)

London has enjoyed the Kirk Cousins experiment at quarterback with at least 10 targets in three straight games and at least 17 DraftKings points in four of his last five games. There’s a way this game shoots out as well given how much talent is on the Seattle offense. This game has an implied total of 51 and will be one I want exposure to on both sides of the ball. We have him projected for 18.59 DraftKings points giving him 2.69x his price tag.

Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8.3k at Minnesota Vikings)

This Vikings defense is legit with Brian Flores at the helm, but I don’t think it matters, similar to what I mentioned with Jefferson. St. Brown has at least 20 DraftKings points in three of his last four games but the targets haven’t been as high as they were last season. He has a DFSA Grade of 93.22 in this one and looks great in all formats. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 20.23 DraftKings points giving him 2.44x his price tag.

Click here for full Wide Receiver projections: Domination Station Optimizer

Tight Ends:

Brock Bowers ($5.8k at Los Angeles Rams)

We kick off the tight end position with a couple of guys who could see a large target share increase due to trades at the WR position. If you haven’t already heard, the Raiders traded Davante Adams this week and with Adams out over the last two weeks, Bowers has at least 10 targets in each game without him. He has at least 16 DraftKings points in those games and I think could turn into a premier option at the position across the league and has a perfect 100 DFSA Grade coming into the week. We have him projected for 15.13 DraftKings points giving him 2.61x his current price tag.

David Njoku ($4.1k vs. Cincinnati Bengals)

The big news with the Browns and Njoku is the trade of Amari Cooper which will open up targets through the air for these ancillary pieces. We’re getting a pretty heavy discount on Njoku in this one, he started the season at $5.6k and obviously that’s come down due to performance both by him and the quarterback, but the ceiling is still there along with the targets in a great matchup with this Bengals defense. The Domination Station has him projected for 10.56 DraftKings points giving him a value of 2.58x his price tag.

Zach Ertz ($3.9k vs. Carolina Panthers)

Ertz isn’t a sexy option by any means but he’s consistent at a cheap price tag with a good quarterback in a great matchup. The Panthers rank 25th in DvP against tight ends on the season and even though he hasn’t caught a TD on the season, but still has a 21.1% redzone target share. The lineup optimizer has him projected for 9.29 DraftKings points giving him 2.38x his current price tag.

Click here for full Tight End projections: Domination Station Optimizer

Value Defense/Special Teams:

New York Giants $2.5k – I don’t think the Eagles are a good football team, but I do like the weapons they have on offense, so it’s a tough test for the G-men. That said, they’ve been serviceable with at least 7 DraftKings points in three of their last four games and at this price tag, sign me up.

Buffalo Bills $3.5k – It’s an expensive defense, but a matchup with Will Levis and the Titans will make that happen. He’s the king of stupid mistakes at the position and this Bills defense has some nice playmakers.

Cleveland Browns $2.5k – I’m a sucker for this Browns defense until they start unloading some pieces at the trade deadline, but current state, they’re a good defense. They have at least 6 DraftKings points in five straight with double digits in three of those. It’s a tougher matchup with the Bengals offense, but at this price tag, it’s a steal.