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DFS NFL Week 6 Milly Maker Review

The Milly Maker is a Large Field GPP Contest on DraftKings that pays out $1,000,000 to First. Learn the winning trends that we’ve found by reviewing years of Milly Maker Winners!

Oct 13, 2024; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Zay Flowers (4) catches a pass defended by Washington Commanders cornerback Benjamin St-Juste (25) during the second quarter at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mitch Stringer-Imagn Images

Week 6 of the Milly Maker contest on Draftkings was the 2nd week in a row when the winning lineup had a QB unstacked, but there was plenty of correlation. That now makes 3 out of 6 weeks when the QB was unstacked.

Week 6 Points
J Love 26.62
D Henry 28.2
S Tucker 37.2
Z Flowers 25.4
C Godwin 38.5
J Tolbert 8.3
C Otton 9.5
J Mixon 30.2
Buccaneers 17
Total 220.92

Stacking

Team Stacks

Derrick Henry 28.2 FPTS + Zay Flowers 25.4 FPTS

Sean Tucker 37.2 FPTS + Chris Godwin 38.5 FPTS + Cade Otton 9.5 FPTS + Buccaneers 17 FPTS

Total Stacking Points: 155.8 FPTS

Total Stacking Ownership: 82.28%

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DFS Football Tips

$1,000,000 Milly Maker Ownership

Week 6 Ownership
J Love 8.39%
D Henry 16.29%
S Tucker 0.04%
Z Flowers 15.13%
C Godwin 8.96%
J Tolbert 24.25%
C Otton 14.84%
J Mixon 1.90%
Buccaneers 27.02%
Total 116.82%

 

This lineup had 4 players under 10% to be overall contrarian and under 120% total team ownership.

Top Leverage Plays

Sean Tucker at .04%

There was chatter on social media that Tucker would be involved in the game and the field really slept on it. Irving was the chalk and had a decent game, but Tucker really broke the slate at less than 1% ownership and 37 Fantasy Points. Great direct leverage off of the Bucky chalk.

Joe Mixon at 1%

We talked about this a bit on the Pre-Lock show, but Joe Mixon had been out of sight, out of mind, and was definitely a sneaky play who was activated on the slate against a run defense that isn’t super good. This lineup had the top 2 Running Backs and at less than 2% total ownership.

Chris Godwin at 8%

Godwin was the top scoring player on the slate and leverage off of Lamb and London who were a lot higher owned and didn’t produce a tournament winning score.

Pricing and Value from the Milly Maker Contest

Week 6 Pricing FPTS per Dollar
J Love $6,600 4.03X
D Henry $8,000 3.52X
S Tucker $4,000 9.3X
Z Flowers $6,500 3.90X
C Godwin $6,900 5.57X
J Tolbert $5,000 1.66X
C Otton $3,500 2.71X
J Mixon $6,900 4.37X
Buccaneers $2,600 6.53X
Total $50,000 4.41X

 

From a value standpoint, this lineup has a lot of pieces that the Domination Station was on as top Fantasy Points Per Dollar plays – including Bucs DST, Otton, and Tolbert. What really set this lineup up was the 9X from Sean Tucker at 4K. Love, Henry, Flowers, Godwin, & Mixon weren’t cheap, so this lineup really needed a couple of value home runs in this lineup from the 2-4k range and got it with Tucker and Bucs DST combining for 7.91X.

Ceiling

I think there’s a direct correlation between the drop in scoring and half of the winning lineups being a naked QB build. (QB without his pass catcher.) Through 6 weeks of the 2024 NFL Season, the average Milly Maker Maker winning score is 224 FPTS. The average winning score in 2023 was 238 FPTS and the average winning score in 2022 was 240 FPTS.

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