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DFS NFL Week 2 Milly Maker Review

The Milly Maker is a Large Field GPP Contest on DraftKings that pays out $1,000,000 to First. Learn the winning trends that we’ve found by reviewing years of Milly Maker Winners!

Sep 15, 2024; Arlington, Texas, USA; New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara (41) scores a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys in the third quarter at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-Imagn Images

 

I remember listening to The Gameplan and “The Geek” said this was the week to play Daniel Jones because everyone would be off of him and the Commanders are a Defense that you want to target. He wrote him up on his Cheatsheet as a ‘Silly for the Milly’ play due to those factors and because he’s been in winning Milly Maker Lineups multiple times. The key to a Daniel Jones lineup being in the winning build was not that he was the highest scoring QB on the slate, but that it was a lower scoring week for the Quarterbacks, so a cheap QB like Daniel Jones would do enough for the rest of the Lineup to “get there.” It’s Roster Construction. Let’s take a look at this Construction that won  $1,000,000 for Sampit16.

Week 2 Points
D Jones 18.32
A Kamara 47
J Mason 20.4
M Harrison Jr. 32
C Godwin 27.7
M Nabers 31.7
T Mcbride 18.7
J Dobbins 23.1
Cardinals 11
Total 229.92

 

Stacking

Primary Stack

Daniel Jones 18.32 FPTS + Malik Nabers 31.7 FPTS = 50.02 FPTS

Secondary Stack

Marvin Harrison Jr. 32 FPTS + Trey Mcbride 18.7 FPTS + Cardinals DST = 61.7 FPTS.

Total Stacking Points: 111.72 FPTS

Total Stacking Ownership: 40.42%

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DFS Football Tips

 

$1,000,000 Milly Maker Ownership

Week 2 Ownership
D Jones 6.88
A Kamara 4.31
J Mason 50.14
M Harrison Jr. 3.6
C Godwin 23.24
M Nabers 17.59
T Mcbride 6.57
J Dobbins 27.51
Cardinals 5.78
Total 145.62

 

This Lineup was the perfect example of how it is okay to eat chalk in your lineup, as long as you get different in several other spots. You have 9 roster spots – not every player needs to be contrarian. It’s important to get some of the good plays in your lineup, and then to differentiate with some underrated and/or overlooked plays. Mason was 50% owned, Godwin 23%, Dobbins 27%, surprisingly, and the rest of the lineup was quite contrarian. In fact, if you take out Mason who half the field played, the rest of the lineup averaged about 12% ownership per player.

Top Leverage Plays

Marvin Harrison Jr. at 3%

I think it’s safe to say now that it’s Murray’s job to feed MHJ the ball. MJH smashed early in this one and then they let the foot off the gas because this one wasn’t competitive, and MHJ still broke the slate with 32 points and at 3% ownership.

Alvin Kamara at 4%

The Kubiak/Shanahan running scheme continues to produce to the RBs and Kamara is showing no signs of slowing down in this Scheme. 4 Touchdowns – including a screen where he outran everybody and scored a Tuddy. Kamara is one of those talents that should be on your radar every week – especially at low ownership like this.

Pricing and Value from the Milly Maker Contest

Week 2 Pricing FPTS per Dollar
D Jones 5300 3.45X
A Kamara 7000 6.71X
J Mason 5200 3.92X
M Harrison Jr. 6000 5.33X
C Godwin 5900 4.69X
M Nabers 5900 5.37X
T Mcbride 6000 3.11X
JK Dobbins 5400 4.27X
Cardinals 2300 4.78X
Total 49000 4.69X

 

There was a lot of value this week and this lineup certainly took advantage of it with Mason leading the way. Much of the content at DFS Army this week centered around Mason being a lock button because the Shanahan Scheme is very RB friendly, and he was underpriced relative to his starter role in Week 2. Mason was just shy of 4X which was perfectly fine for his price, and Nabers, MHJ, & Kamara really smashed their salary with tournament winning value of 5-6X between the 3 players. With it being a low scoring week for the Quarterbacks, Danny Dimes did enough at 5300 when paired with Nabers in this one to take down the Milly with the stack taking only $11,200 of Salary.

Ceiling

The ceiling remains low to start the season, but it was good to see the total jump from the 190s to just shy of 230. As long as teams are taking away the big play, offensive line play is poor, and injuries continue, we’ll probably continue to see lower scores across the slate.

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