DFS NBA Full Court Press: FanDuel & DraftKings Main Slate – Jan. 7th, 2023

Main Slate Breakdown for NBA DFS 1/7:

Welcome to another year of the DFS Army NBA Full Court Press! Members had a ton of success using the Full Court Press along with various articles and tools that DFS Army provides last season, so we are glad to be back with another year of the all-inclusive article. You have to start your research somewhere, and oftentimes going game by game and breaking down every matchup and its key players is the first step in our process. My name is Mike aka @MadnessDFS on Twitter, make sure to give me a follow as I’ll occasionally make updates to the advice in the article. But, you’ll mostly find me in our VIP coaching forums where I provide detailed lineup maneuvers and answer all lineup questions. With that said, let’s get it started!

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Utah Jazz @ Chicago Bulls

Vegas Total: 239.0

Vegas Spread: Uta -1.5

We’ll kick off this slate with the Jazz, Kelly Olynyk has been fairly volatile as of late but the minutes should be there in a nice matchup, I would have no issue going right back to the well with him in this one. Lauri Markkanen has been on a heater as of late averaging 50.9 DraftKings points per game over the last five games I love the matchup against a bad defense. Jordan Clarkson continues to float in the 30-40 fantasy point range which is just fine considering his price tag. He’s going to look like a solid option in all formats as well. Then guys like Malik Beasley and Mike Conley are both fine secondary options to round out this team and should benefit/see a few extra minutes with Collin Sexton out. Conley has been pretty good as of late now that he’s getting 30+ minutes consistently again. Finally, Jarred Vanderbilt and Walker Kessler should split the center minutes, I wouldn’t pair them together, but one of them will likely have a good game. From the Bulls, Zach LaVine and Nikola Vucevic went absolutely bananas last night against the Sixers. They both went over 60 DraftKings points and will look like nice options again tonight, but I wouldn’t expect that kind of production again. LaVine shot 11-13 from three-point range while Vuc just did it all for the first time in a while. Naturally, DeMar DeRozan had a down game, as it would be nearly impossible for all three of them to have huge games. The price tag feels like it’s right where it should be and is a solid option in all formats. Then guys like Patrick Williams, Ayo Dosunmu, and Alex Caruso are fine secondary value options but my main interest comes with the big three on this team.

5-star play: Lauri Markkanen

4-star play: Jordan Clarkson, Kelly Olynyk, Malik Beasley, Mike Conley, DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine, Nikola Vucevic

Deeper Value: Patrick Williams, Ayo Dosunmu, Alex Caruso

GPP Sleeper: Malik Beasley, Jarred Vanderbilt, Walker Kessler, Patrick Williams, Ayo Dosunmu, Alex Caruso, Andre Drummond

Quick shoutout to VIP member “Cenzamatic” on a massive $20k win last season! Sometimes paying up for double studs works, and Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Durant brought it home for him with the help of some Stanley Johnson and Pistons value. Good work and congrats man!

New Orleans Pelicans @ Dallas Mavericks

Vegas Total: 225.0

Vegas Spread: Dal -7.0

Starting with the Pelicans, they’re going to be without Brandon Ingram and Zion Williamson as he was diagnosed with a hamstring injury. Below is how the team operates with these guys off of the court this season:

• CJ McCollum – 31.6% usage rate; 1.24 fpm
• Jonas Valanciunas – 25.7% usage rate; 1.17 fpm
• Trey Murphy – 15.3% usage rate; 0.75 fpm
• Herb Jones – 14.7% usage rate; 0.75 fpm
• Naji Marshall – 20.2% usage rate; 0.94 fpm

I would expect to see Naji Marshall slides into the starting lineup with Zion off of the court and plays pretty well while he’s in there, he makes sense as a mid-range option and has at least 26 FanDuel points in back-to-back games. The big boost goes to CJ McCollum who we’ve seen dominate with Ingram and Zion off of the court this season, he’s going to look like a nice option in an elite matchup. From the Mavs, Luka Doncic has at least 64 FanDuel points in four of his last five games but had a down game against the Celtics last time out. He’s still going to look like the top raw option on the slate and will be a great option in all formats if we can find the value. Christian Wood has at least 40 DraftKings points in four of his last five games and has locked down some consistent minutes. He’s a solid GPP option now that his price tag has come up. Spencer Dinwiddie is probably more of a secondary GPP option, I just don’t like guys who need to fight for usage with these ball-dominant players like Luka. Tim Hardaway Jr. has been much better as of late and makes sense in all formats as well. He’s playing all the minutes he can handle right now.

5-star play: CJ McCollum, Luka Doncic

4-star play: Jonas Valanciunas, Naji Marshall, Christian Wood, Tim Hardaway Jr.

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Trey Murphy, Herb Jones, Larry Nance Jr., Spencer Dinwiddie

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Orlando Magic @ Golden State Warriors

Vegas Total: 231.5

Vegas Spread: Gsw -6.5

Starting with the Magic, Bol Bol will continue to be out for the Magic, but otherwise, they come in pretty healthy which will make this team a bit of a mess. Paolo Banchero has been good as of late with at least 47 DraftKings points in back-to-back games and is a fine GPP option, but he does come with some risk with the volatility he has. Markelle Fultz has been pretty consistent as of late as well and makes sense as a secondary option in all formats. Wendell Carter Jr. was a guy I liked a bunch last time out and that won’t change here. His minutes’ restriction has been lifted and we’re used to seeing him closer to that mid-$7k range. Franz Wagner has been good as well but is priced right where he should be and makes sense as a secondary option. Lastly, the price tag on Cole Anthony is really interesting but is extremely volatile which keeps him as just a tournament guy. From the Warriors, it sounds like Andrew Wiggins will return in this one while Steph Curry and Jonathan Kuminga remain out. I would expect Wiggins to be on some sort of minutes restriction due to being out for over a month, so he’s not a guy I’d get to. Jordan Poole is playing all of the minutes he can handle as of late and his price tag reflects that he’s a solid option in all formats. Klay Thompson has been on a heater as of late with at least 40 DraftKings points in five straight games. I would have no issue going right back to him here, he’s attempting three-point shots in bulk. Guys like Draymond Green and Kevon Looney are solid options at their respective price tags as well and look like nice secondary options. Lastly, I would expect to see a lighter workload for Donte DiVincenzo with Wiggins back, but not necessarily right away especially with Kuminga out as well… he’s still a fine option, I just wish he was a little cheaper.

5-star play: Wendell Carter Jr., Klay Thompson

4-star play: Paolo Banchero, Markelle Fultz, Franz Wagner, Jordan Poole, Draymond Green, Kevon Looney

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Cole Anthony, Moe Wagner, Donte DiVincenzo

10 Under 10 – 10 GPP Options under 10% Ownership on Draftkings and Fanduel (Week 18 Main Slate)

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Los Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings

Vegas Total: 241.5

Vegas Spread: Sac -8.5

Starting with the Lakers, they’ll be without Anthony Davis here, but it sounds like he’s getting closer to returning. Thomas Bryant will continue to start in his place going forward. Below is how this team operates with Davis off of the court this season:

• LeBron James – 34.9% usage rate; 1.55 fpm
• Russell Westbrook – 29.3% usage rate; 1.32 fpm
• Thomas Bryant – 18.9% usage rate; 1.13 fpm
• Dennis Schroder – 20.7% usage rate; 0.86 fpm

These would be my favorite options on the Lakers, but it’s mostly LeBron, Westbrook, and Bryant for me. They’ll also be without Lonnie Walker and Austin Reaves which will open up minutes for some of these ancillary pieces as well. Schroder is one of those guys that I like and has been in great form, seeing all the minutes he can handle in a great matchup. I will say, you’re not going to catch me in the Wenyen Gabriel web… he’s not good, don’t let the price tag fool you unless you’re really trying to jam in Doncic and another stud. Sorry, Wenyen. From the Kings, I love me some Domantas Sabonis here, he’s averaging 53.6 DraftKings points per game in two games against the Lakers this season. The Lakers are giving up the third most fantasy points per game to opposing bigs on the season, he’s going to look great. De’Aaron Fox has performed well in this matchup as well this season, I would have no issue going right back to the well on him. Kevin Huerter seems to be a guy I land on more often than not as a last piece in type of play, but he just gets it done and is a guy I like a gain here in the mid-range. Harrison Barnes and Keegan Murray will grab a lot of those big forward minutes and look like solid options at their respective price tags. Then a guy like Malik Monk is a solid option to round out the team, but probably more of a tournament guy for me.

5-star play: LeBron James, Domantas Sabonis

4-star play: Russell Westbrook, Thomas Bryant, Dennis Schroder, De’Aaron Fox, Kevin Huerter, Harrison Barnes, Keegan Murray

Deeper Value: Keegan Murray, Troy Brown

GPP Sleeper: Malik Monk, Troy Brown

NBA Lock of the Day: Domantas Sabonis (DK – $10.3k; FD – $10.3k)

I touched on it in that late-game breakdown, but this is such a great matchup for Sabonis… so I’m going right back to the well with him. As I mentioned, he’s averaging 53.6 DraftKings/49.1 FanDuel points per game in two games against the Lakers this season. With Anthony Davis still out, they’re bleeding fantasy points to opposing big men. This game has the highest implied total on the slate as well at 241.5, he’s going to look great. At this point in the day, I would think he makes my core, but check out our VIP Cheat Sheets as we get closer to lock for staff picks on Core plays, 8x locks of the day, and tiers notes as well!

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Editor’s Note – However, if you are more interested in simply betting the games, NBA is full of crazy action.  And, our dynamic modeling over at SharpBets adjusts in real time to help identify Vegas inaccuracies you can exploit.  Follow Ryan, Anthony, and Statsational for models and coaching advice that help you build any bankroll for any sport…