NBA DFS Basketball PrizePicks Strategy Player Picks for 3/22/2022

Similar to NBA DFS, there are going to be player lines that stand out on every slate. One big difference is that you are betting against the house and not other users. Therefore, pick the most favorable over/unders to build the best entry.

When injury news comes out, the lines surrounding that player will remain the same for a few minutes. The best picks are the ones that come from that player’s game as these lines are likely to be too low or too high depending on which way the news breaks. These are removed quickly so it is important to stay on top of the news to get the best value picks.

Hello DFS Army fans! I am William and am super excited to be a part of the NBA staff this season. Feel free to call me Will and you can find me @wlin018 on Twitter. These articles are written many hours before lock so the lines will change. The lines will be adjusted as people place bets or the player could be removed from the board. To find the most up-to-date player lines with the best edge, check out our NBA Prizepicks Tool. This tool is included as part of our VIP subscription which you can get your first month for free by signing up and depositing on PrizePicks! There is even another bonus which you will find at the end of this article…

PrizePicks NBA Plays for Tonight…

Cole Anthony Over 5ast

ORL vs GSW

It is Taco Tuesday! There is a chance some of these players will be discounted so be sure to follow which players are chosen. Getting Cole Anthony at exactly 5 gives us a bit of a safety net with the possibility of a push. He averages 5.7 assists on the season. The Warriors have Draymond Green back in the lineup but are now without Stephen Curry. Jordan Poole also is not known for his defense. With no Curry, this game has a much better chance to stay close. Jalen Suggs will miss this game which should mean another start for RJ Hampton. Though Hampton has put up some solid games, those have been off the bench. Anthony takes on more ball-handling duties with Suggs out. Markelle Futz has been serving as Anthony’s direct backup so he should not eat into Anthony’s assists.

It is difficult to point to an exact stat as the Warriors have been dealing with injuries all season long. Thompson was out for the start of the season. When he returned, Draymond got hurt. Now Curry is hurt. In the last 7 games, the Warriors have allowed the 8th-most assists to PGs. This includes some games where both Thompson and Green, two of the Warriors best defenders were active. Some of the opponents have not exactly been the elite PGs of the league. These include Marcus Smart, Monte Morris, and Raul Neto. Anthony might be cold shooting the ball but his assists have been there. In the game on 3/13 vs Philadelphia, Jalen Suggs was active and Anthony had 9 potential assists.  On 3/17 vs Detroit, Suggs had 14 potential assists. This line probably will move to 5.5 so take the over before it gets bumped up.

 

RJ Barrett Under 24.5pts

NYK vs ATL

It is scary to take any sort of under for a player who plays over 40mins a game in regulation. Compared to a month or two ago, Barrett’s points line was always set somewhere between 19.5 to 21.5. This line has already been adjusted for the massive minutes he is playing each game. The Hawks are going to be without John Collins and Lou Williams today. This will likely mean another start for Danilo Gallinari. This should make things easier for Julius Randle although there is still Clint Capela, a rim protector for Randle to meet at the basket. The Hawks best perimeter defender is De’Andre Hunter. Barrett is going to have to deal with Hunter for most of this game. If you look at the entire season, the Hawks might not seem to be that great at stopping SFs. Hunter missed 2 months which left Kevin Huerter and Bogdan Bogdanovic to handle the wings. Hunter is a much better defender than the other options they have.

In the last 15 games, the Hawks have allowed the fewest points to SFs in the league. Barrett has by far the toughest matchup on his team. Trae Young probably guards Evan Fournier. Fournier should be able to shoot right over him. More on that later. Maybe Clint Capela or Hunter guards Randle but it probably makes the most sense for Hunter to be Barrett’s primary defender. It is hard to see Barrett hit the over on this number in a tough matchup when he has only hit this once in the last six games. That one time came against the tanking Blazers. Since the Knicks run their starters heavy minutes, it likely means someone is going over their points line.

 

Evan Fournier Over 14.5pts

NYK vs ATL

I am going with Fournier here. Earlier in the season, Fournier would start games but not close them. Derrick Rose continues to be out which has given more opportunities for Fournier. Now, he is closing regularly. Last game, he was in foul trouble and then fouled out. Fournier is a shooter. He actually has been contributing with the peripherals, particularly the assists recently. That makes his 19.5pra line intriguing but I would rather stick with the points because that is his specialty.  Fournier has made at least 3 3s in 5 straight games. The Knicks are playing at home where Fournier has played a lot better compared to on the road. He shoots over 6% better from beyond the arc at home than away.

If we expect Hunter to be on Barrett, Fournier could be the guy to benefit. Randle should get his but he has really struggled recently. There is something about Fournier on small slates. He just always seems to go off on these days. That is another nugget if you believe in things like that. Trae Young is going to have to guard someone. It likely will be Fournier. Alec Burks is more versatile so he would likely go to work on Trae in the post. Fournier is much bigger than Young so he should be able to shoot right over him. Atlanta is about league average when it comes to 3pt attempts allowed and made. Most of Fournier’s points come from 3. That is a little risky if he starts off cold. With this matchup though, he should hit the over at home.

 

Reggie Jackson Over 6.5asts

LAC @ DEN

Are the Clippers playing today? Is Reggie Jackson playing? Is his assists line set at 6.5 or lower? If the answers to those questions are yes, then I am taking the over. The Clippers continue to be short-handed. They only have Jackson and Terance Mann to play make. Since 2/10, the Clippers have played 16 games. Jackson has hit at least 7 assists in 10 of those 16. He has had 6 assists in 3 games. The last game in which he had 1, Ty Lue threw in the towel at halftime. Throw that game out. The Clippers play the Nuggets who also started the 2nd half without their starters. Denver actually brought in their starters later on though. Since the Clippers starters played half a game, these guys should be fresh. They have had 3 full days off since then.

The Nuggets allow the 7th-most assists to opposing PGs. Since the Clippers do not have many options, Jackson sometimes will play up to 40mins. We do not need him to play that many minutes for him to hit but obviously the more playing time he gets, the higher chance he hits the over. There are some games where Jackson is more of a scorer. I am fine with the 29.5pra prop so it does not matter whether he is scoring or playmaking more. Denver also is pretty giving to PG scoring. I am rolling with the assists though because the Clippers really need him to create for overs with Paul George and Kawhi Leonard out.

 

Just missed the cut: Wendell Carter Jr. O16.5pt/O33.5fpt, Julius Randle O23.5pt, Mitchell Robinson 1h O3.5pt, Reggie Jackson O29.5pra, Will Barton O12.5pt

 

Final NBA PrizePicks Thought

Remember, ownership is not a factor here. Pick the best lines available. Take advantage of the news and place entries immediately before the lines are taken off the board and adjusted.

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