DFS NHL is a volatile sport centering around correlation, stacking and game theory. Learning how to win cash games and tournaments requires nailing those great upside plays/stacks, grabbing obvious value, and making the proper fades that sink everyone else’s ships. Let’s look through today’s slate and identify those winning picks in “Snipes, Grinders, and Hard Passes!”
Snipe = Good Play
Grinder = Value Plays (Grinders are Valuable)
Hard-Pass = I’m fading in tournaments
DFS NHL Slate Overview:
I wish I had more to add here, but this is a relatively straight forward slate. We have several high priced guys, whom we have to pick correctly from; and with that, we have to find some value so we can afford those said expensive superstars. All while correlating? How could this ever be possible? Answer; it’s not, just give up and let me freeroll these contests. Never mind, let me just tell you what I think at a glance.
Dec 14, 2021; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Vegas Golden Knights center Jonathan Marchessault (81) celebrates with his teammates after scoring against the Boston Bruins during the first period at the TD Garden. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports
Snipes and Hard Passes for Tonight
Correlated Snipe #1
William Karlsson $4700DK
Jonathan Marchessault $5200DK
Reilly Smith $4200DK
Vegas at home will always appeal to me, but at these prices I will officially buy. Pacioretty is typically a massive part of the Vegas offense, but he was just placed on long term IR, which may this line carry even more of a burden. The Karlsson line has been together since the franchise first started, and have never slowed down. They typically are very effective when they are all healthy, and Vegas in general loves to shoot the puck, as well as perform in front of their crazy fans. All signs are pointing to this line seeing heavy minutes and leading the Vegas charge.
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Correlated Snipe #2
Ryan Strome $5100DK
Artemi Panarin $6800DK
Adam Fox $6100DK
This type of lineup construction is sneaky for a variety of reasons. 1st off, you are getting 2 forwards that play on the same line, with the Rangers’ top defenseman. Not only is that the case, but the reigning Norris Trophy winner (Adam Fox) is on the Rangers 1st powerplay unit with Panarin and Strome. Another reason why I am digging on this, is because this line will be in constructions that typically will be avoiding the studs and duds lineup construction. I like these Rangers not only because they are always dangerous offensively, but because the Lightning will be playing in back to back games, and their 3rd game of this week; and may I remind you that the players are just now getting back from a big Covid break.
If you want to freshen up your 2021-22 cash and tourney strategy skills, read “How to Win DFS NHL in 2022.”
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Hard Pass #1
The Tampa Bay Lightning
They may be the Stanley Cup favorites, as well as a well oiled machine; but in this particular case/slate, I am avoiding them like the yellow water of a public swimming pool. This slate is only 4 games, so you want to play exploitative and be heavy on some stacks, and very light on others. With the Lightning being expensive players, I would rather spend up for the Oilers and Capitals.
NHL Grinder Value Plays
Grinder#1
Jack Hughes $4600DK- This isn’t the cheapest grinder play, but at this price, Hughes may be the highest owned player in cash games, and simply a perfectly fine plug and play if need be; It’s an egregious pricing error, period.
Grinder#2
PK Subban $3000DK- In a high octane game, I will go ahead and grab the volatile Subban. He loves the spotlight, and the spotlight is going to follow Connor McDavid. Subban is a high upside cheap defenseman, and if you check out his consistency rating in our research station, you will see that he loves to shoot that puck.
Jakub Silfverberg $2900- I don’t love him, but he is a good and effective hockey player in real life. With not much below $3000, if you absolutely need to go this low, he could round out a lineup.
Good luck, I hope you all come in 2nd. 😉
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